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No	Title		Reference info	Size	Co-authors
1.	Theoretical principles of formalisation of linear economic and mathematical modelling	publ.	Modern informational technologies in economics: Collection of papers / Moscow Economics and Statistics Institute, Moscow, 1992, p.85-100.	18	Zemliansky, Adolf A.

A formalism is suggested that allows describing the structure of a LP economic model thus making possible automatic composition and analysis of a particular instance of the model. The idea of the formalism was formulated by Prof. Dr. A.A. Zemliansky.
Access: on-line, PDF format, in Russian.

The formalization of the semantics of the term "objective" is suggested. The hierarchy of the indicators is developed that helps to approach reasonability of the agricultural production.
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian). UDK 631.155.12.

The cyclic nature of agricultural production causes dependence on creditor. In case of  inflation this dependence is being strengthened. The factors stimulating the growth of credit dependence of agricultural firms are indicated.
Access: The paper can be sent via E-mail on request in ASCII format (in Russian, code page 866).

The methodology is described that is aimed at the analysis of an enterprise's losses due to money devaluation caused by inflation. It considers direct devaluation of cash assets, the earnings due to current duties and debts devaluation and the subsequent service of an additional debt compensating the losses.
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian).

It is shown that the firm farms restructuring programme known as VIAPI approach or Nizhny Novgorod approach does not cause significant changes in agricultural production. In many cases some decrement of losses experienced by farms involved in the programme is observed compared to the losses of other farms in the same regions. From another hand, the production in the former farms is decreasing compared to the latter. However, no one of these effects has a considerable amount. The paper has been made obsolete by (52).
Access: only available in the Library of Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Moscow). In Russian.

The losses caused by inflation are measured for the case of ZAO "Chapaevets", a firm farm located in the Moscow Region. The applied methodology is described in (38). The farm's experience demonstrates that the inflation contributes to increasing dependency of the farm on its creditors.
Access: The paper can be sent via E-mail on request in ASCII format (in Russian, code page 866).

It is shown that the firm farms restructuring programme known as VIAPI approach or Nizhny Novgorod approach does not cause significant changes in agricultural production and social state of rural population. In many cases some decrement of losses experienced by farms involved in the programme is observed compared to the losses of other farms in the same regions. From another hand, the production in the former farms is decreasing compared to the latter. However, no one of these effects has a considerable amount. The factors influencing the impact of the programme are studied.
Access: only available in the Library of Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Moscow) and in All-Russian Institute of Agrarian Problems and Informatics. In Russian.

The programme that is known as VIAPI approach or Nizhny Novgorod approach is not harmful for the agricultural production and mostly implements its objectives. In particular, it positively influences the level of investments in the agricultural production.
Access: available in many libraries in Russia and at some foreign libraries (for instance, Library of Congress, Washington, DC, USA). In Russian

The impact of the programme "Privatisation of land and reorganisation of agricultural enterprises" on the financial condition of the reorganised firm farms is studied. It is shown that the reorganised farms are more stridgent in serving their liabilities and have wider opportunities to borrow.
Access: available in many Russian libraries (in Russian).

There is a faint positive impact of the reorganisation of agricultural firms in the Oryol Region on their economic performance.
Access: only available in the Library of Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Moscow). In Russian.

The influence of the reorganisation of agricultural firms in the framework of the programme "Privatisation of land and reorganisation of agricultural enterprises" on their financial state is studied. It is shown that the reorganised firms are more willing to repay their debts as soon as possible and have wider opportunities to attain new loans. The methodology of the performed analysis is described in details
Access: only available in the Library of Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Moscow). In Russian.

An extension of the approach suggested in (1) that allows to formally describe any economic computation problem. The idea is authored by Dr. Prof. Adolf A. Zemliansky. The development of the software implementing this concept was at the responsibility of Andrei A. Shevchenko, but he left this work unfinished.
Access: only available in MTAA scientific library (in Russian).

It is shown that the programme "Privatisation of land and reorganisation of agricultural enterprises" does not significantly affect agricultural production and social situation in rural area. Usually there is an impercentible reduction of the losses (also of production) at the farms participating in the programme in comparison to those at other farms. Compared to (52), this book uses an improved methodology of economic analysis and the data of one more year.
Access: available at many Russian libraries (in Russian).

A review. The class-book is really good and useful for a student, although there are the opportunities for improvement, as usually.
Access: available at many libraries in Russia and at some foreign libraries (for instance, Library of Congress, Washington, DC, USA). In Russian.

Reformation of ownership relations at an agricultural corporation can result in failure when the director of the corporation is an initiator and his aim is to strengthen his personal power.
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian).

The aim of the paper is to depict the resources of agriculture production growth in Russia, to display the central problems hampering the growth. The identified problems are: extremely low average family income in Russia; existence of high-profitable investment opportunities outside agricultural production, shortage of operating capital on agricultural firms, low land value etc.
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian). Alternative access: Word 95 document.

The collection of abstracts, which is edited by Prof. V.A. Chernikov and me.
Access: in central Russian libraries only.

The method of automated classification of documents related to agro-economic subjects is suggested. Bayes theorem allows calculating a vector of relevancies of a document to the categories of a given classifier on the base of certain attributes of its text. 
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian).

Based on both the analysis of resources availability per unit of gross agricultural production and the simulation of farm's behaviour the negative impact of a lack of turnover assets on farm's economies is ascertained. It is shown that a lack of turnover assets is the main cause of economic difficulties in the rural areas. A set of arrangements is advised that allows negotiation of this negative factor.
Access: on-line, PDF format (in Russian).

Problems and solutions in providing of training literature, equipment, software, lecturers and conditions for practical learning at the faculty.
Access: can be e-mailed on request in MS Word 95 format (in Russian).

The collection of papers, which is edited by Prof. V.M. Bautin and me.
Access: in central Russian libraries only (in Russian).

By means of data envelopment analysis (DEA) it is shown that the volume of production in large-scale dairy farms is not optimally adjusted to their technological capacity. Additional reasons are found  to the negative influence of soft budget constraints (when they take place) on farms' technical efficiency (in Russian).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The problem of inefficiency of private land property under the conditions of low land that is typical for the most of Russian territory. Low land rent implies extensive and labour-consuming forms of the reproduction process, concentration of the most labour-intensive production processes on household plots. A system of economic and administrative regulations is suggested aimed at increasing the value of land rent as a pre-condition of the second phase of market reforms in Russian agriculture (in Russian).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

An abstract of the poster presented at «Large farm management» workshop  (IAMO, Halle, Germany, Nowember 2003.). The main conclusion is that  European management experience may cause failures in Russia, where land is cheap and, because of that, managerial priorities and tools are different (in English).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in English). JEL: Q15, Q18.

A journal version of (131) in Russian.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The collection of papers, which is edited by Prof. Dr. Dr.h.c. V.M. Bautin, Prof. Dr. Dr.h.c. G.V. Rodionov, Dr. V.A. Karnaukhov and me.
Access: in central Russian libraries only (in Russian).

The paper analyses the outcome of the model described in (144). It is shown that the state policy that stimulates accumulation of turnover capital can raise technical efficiency (TE) of the studied plants. Concentration of production in meat-processing industry contributes to TE growth, although the largest plants demonstrate negative return to scale. Unstable market conjuncture of the transitional economy impedes better use of existing resources for TE growth.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The progress of supporting institutes of market economic system is needed, primarily of those initiating, regulating and facilitating informational processes that generate and disseminate information about markets conjuncture and prices. Providing that, these informational processes might be aimed at securing such business decisions that harmonize with scientifically grounded targets of state economic policy in the branch of industry. 
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

Factors of differences in investment behaviour of agricultural enterprises that operate in comparable conditions are identified using the data from the survey conducted in Oryol, Samara oblasts and Stavropol kray (90 enterprises in total varying from family farms to members of agroholdings). The main factors are the accumulated knowledge and the available sources of investment financing. The data and estimations support the farm growth theory by E.Penrose.
My participation in this study is limited to interpretation of factor analysis results and editing the manuscript to make it accessible by Russian reader.
The paper was shortened by the editorial board. On this reason, the references to the journal may not be accurate if you could access only this manuscript which is more than twice as large as the published version.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

172.

Mathematical methods in economy: two strategies of teaching

publ.

Proceedings of seminar “Priorities of educational strategies in the field of economy” June 2-4, 2008 / Moscow state linguistic university. Yaroslavl, 2008. - P.34.

2

The tendency of wider application of mathematical methods in the courses on farm economy and management is reasoned. This tendency shrinks the space for traditional (in Russian educational system) "mathematics in economy and management" courses. The tendency should be supported, unless several exclusions.
Access: on-line, HTML document (in Russian).

After the trend is removed, the significantly negative correlations are found between yields and prices of both potatoes and open-air vegetables in the Moscow oblast corporate farms during 1995…2006.
Access: libraries only (in Russian).

Stability of sunflower yields per hectare is measured in terms of entropy. The results can be used in crop insurance and in futures pricing.
Access: libraries only (in Russian).

It is shown that the size of a corporate farm in the Moscow oblast of Russia is significantly influenced by external transaction costs. Contrarily, economies of scale are insignificant.
Access: on-line, PDF document, paid.

The paper reveals the casual relation of low land and labour values in Russian agriculture to the difficulties of its market transformation. In particular, the consequence is low capability of rural economy to innovative development. The suggestion is to differentiate the directions of agricultural transformation considering actual land rent level on specific territories.
Access: on-line, PDF document.

The results of DEA-estimation of relative efficiency of the Kurgan region agricultural consumer cooperatives are analyzed. The enterprise-oriented cooperatives are found to be the most effective, although the motivation for entrepreneurship is limited.
Access: libraries only (in Russian). UDK 631.115.8:631.152.

Data of the Moscow oblast enables identifying the sources of competitive advantages of the largest corporate dairy milk producers: reliable fool supply from own production, advantages of large milking parlors, mutually beneficial terms of partnership with milk processors.
Access: MTAA library only (in Russian).

Data of the Moscow oblast conforms the hypothesis about a threshold of milk productivity per dairy cow such that its further growth no longer decreases per-unit milk costs.
Access: MTAA library only (in Russian).

The data of JSC ‘Gran-Pik’ is used to demonstrate the tolerance of bio-humus production and application projects to risks arising from price changes and variation of opportunity cost of capital.
Access: MTAA library only (in Russian).

А shortened English version of (224).
Access: MTAA library only (in English).

Data of the Moscow oblast conforms the hypothesis about a threshold of milk productivity per dairy cow such that its further growth no longer decreases per-unit milk costs. The suggestions are given aimed at increasing the threshold.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

Composition of computer aids aimed at increasing competitiveness of agricultural investment projects in capital markets is suggested. The toolset for computing amounts of budget support of agricultural projects insurance is developed and validated.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The article provides a solution for the problems of reduction of cultivated area and manpower outflow from the Smolensk oblast's agriculture by means of the programs aimed at cultivation of potatoes in corporate farms and at setting up family farms specialized in dairy milk production. The programs are developed by means of mathematical programming methodology.
Доступ: on-line, PDF document.

This invited paper reports the same findings as (222).
Access: libraries only (in Russian).

This paper was supposed to be inaccessible for public. However, recently I found its description here. The paper argues positive but eventual economic effect of farm restructuring process in mid 1990s, which occured mostly due to improved accounting, rejection of the low-productive cows and savings on wages.
Access: online, pdf document (in English).

A review of plenary presentations made during IAMO Forum-2011.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

A review of presentations made on the session of the seminar n.a. S.S. Shatalin in October 2011.
Access: libraries only.

The paper addresses capability of Moscow oblast dairy corporate farms to attract long-term loans under the terms of Basel II agreement. The farms are grouped on capital intensity to assess differences in level of financial risk and in threshold amount of long-term loans. It is shown that high credit risks arise in case of financing dairy farms that have median capital intensity. However, only low capital intensive farms are able to attract new loans for investment purposes.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

Based on structuring of the scientific problem of substantiation of anti-crisis activities in dairy milk farming the methodology of its solution is enriched with the two-stage approach to justifying managerial solutions. Particularly, the first stage deals with drawing up anti-crisis activities plan and the second stage concerns the plan of involving in the production process the resources that have been relaxed on the previous stage. It is advised to apply operational research on the both stages.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The basics of the methodology are presented aimed at discovering opportunities of lowering financial risks of Russian corporate farms that pretend to attract foreign investments.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian). UDC 336.645.1.

The methodology is suggested and tested aimed at measuring economic losses of a firm that are caused by the lack of language skills. The methodology is based on the Bayes theorem.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The program of a structured interview is proposed in order to form an empirical base that allows approaching the contribution of the lack of language skills into the transaction costs of firms that use foreign languages in their business.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

In order to improve the interaction of taxation and subsidization of agriculture in Belarus a mathematical model is developed that combines operations research procedures with the econometric modeling of production frontier. The model demonstrates that the corporate farms in Belarus cannot be regarded as a neoclassical firm as taxation significantly affects their motivation. It is found that the state support of agriculture in the amount of 1,498 billion Belarus rubles is able to provide cost-effective functioning of the sector with an expected profit of 1.9 trillion Belarus rubles.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

Summary of the presentation (which will be published later).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in English).

An annotation of paper (286).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The paper introduces the term “the capital of language skills”, presents the basics of the methodology of estimating the economic effect of operation of this kind of capital, gives the suggestions on the contents of the questionnaire aimed at composition of the empirical base of such estimation.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The methodology is elaborated that allows revelation of the idle capacity resulting from the lack of the linguistic competence on a firm. The term “capital of linguistic competence” is introduced. An assessment is made of the empirical base, which has been composed during pilot surveys, for the purposes of revelation of specific elements of the studied idle capacity and composing a target group of firms experiencing importance of the lack of the capital of linguistic competence. The suggestions are worked out regarding to upgrade of the survey program.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The relations that condition system dynamics of credit issue are identified that are sufficient for the analytic derivation of the stationarity conditions of the monetary system. In absence of inflation the stationary interest rate is lower than the rate of economic growth. Hence, it does not truly indicate the opportunity cost of capital. Withdrawal of loans softens the stationarity conditions. The controlled modes are found that provide given growth rates for both money aggregate and gross banks' capital in absence of loan withdrawals.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The article provides the main stages of establishment, formation and development of new scientific and pedagogical school concerning methodological problems and implementation of mathematical methods and modeling, system analysis, modern information systems and technologies and its practical realization in agrarian sector of economy. Also this paper outlines and proves relevance and objective reasons for emergence of new scientific and pedagogical school. The role of scientists of university at different development stages of scientific school has been shown. The main scientific and practical results of activity of the school are considered.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

The concept of interaction of the background forces that initiate Kondratiev waves in the grain production is enriched in a way that the conjuncture factor, which is associated with the investment lag of infrastructure projects, affects gross production, while the factor of innovations affects the resource usage efficiency. The corresponding theoretical model of the long-term grain production dynamics is elaborated. The suggestions are justified on ranking the targets of the state support of grain production, which imply the top priority of improving efficiency and decreasing risks of investment projects, the medium priority of the resource usage efficiency, while the gross grain production should be taken into consideration only conditionally.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

Based on the case study of gross grain production on the territory of the former USSR, the analysis is conducted of weak influence of economic policies on long-term economic dynamics. The research task aimed at the theoretical analysis of the mentioned problem is set and the corresponding methodology is proposed. Recommendations on improving the economic policies are structured subject to adoption of different hypotheses about the nature of Kondratiev waves.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

308.

Interaction of social and economic policies with long conjuncture cycles

publ.

Theory and practice of social state in the Russian Federation: scientific and production capacity and social technologies: Proceedings of 3rd all-Russian conference / Omsk state university of communications. Omsk, 2015. - P.28-33.

10

A. Bogdanova

Using gross grain yields over the territory of the former USSR as a case, probable reasons of weak influence of economic policy on long-term economic dynamics are analyzed. The problem of theoretical analysis of this issue is set up. The methodology of addressing this problem is outlined. Three sets of recommendations on improving economic policy are formulated subject to the acceptance of different hypotheses about the causes of the long conjuncture cycles (Kondratiev waves).
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

310.

Testing the significance of investment lag in an econometric model of infratrajectories

publ.

Youth economics: the economic science in the eye of young scientists. Moscow, 2016. – P.128-131.

5

The influence of investment lag on infratrajectories is tested, which is one of hypothetical causes of Kondratiev waves. No evidence is found in favour of such influence.
Access: on-line (the proceedings are available at the CEMI RAS site), PDF document (in Russian).

311.

Kondratiev wave in Soviet and post-Soviet agriculture: the lessons for the agricultural policy

publ.

Second international political economy congress «The return of the political economy»: the proceedings / A. Buzgalin, M. Voeikov, eds. Moscow: Culture Revolution, 2015. – Vol. 2, p. 674-683.

15

Long-term time series of grain production over the territory of the former USSR are apparently independent on alternations of agricultural policy. This phenomenon argues the scientific contribution of this paper: (i) a new concept of interaction between the moving causes of the Kondratiev waves, which presumes an effect of the market conjuncture on gross production, meanwhile innovations, via the technical efficiency, determine the resource consumption; (ii) a theoretical model of the long-term dynamics of grain production, which elaborates the mentioned concept; (iii) suggestions on improving governmental agricultural policy based on the idea of its re-orientation from targeting the gross production to targeting the resource efficiency at the level that secures competitiveness while preventing the social tension.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

314.

Changing an organizational model of an agricultural cooperative for the purpose of improving its investment attractiveness

publ.

Actual issues of development of agricultural education and science: Proceedings of international scientific and practical conference. Balashikha: Russian State Agricultural Correspondence University, 2010. – P. 248-254.

10

N. Volodina

ПIt is shown that in cooperatives the system of management, including monitoring and evaluation, as well as the rules of income distribution should be, as a rule, linked to the volume of transactions of a member and the capital she or he invested, meanwhile the share of a member in the capital should be valued using market prices.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

316.

Analysis of consequences of agricultural markets integration in EAEU by means of a partial equilibrium model

publ.

Establishing organizational and economic conditions of efficient functioning of AIC: Proceedings of the 8th international scientific and practical conference. Minsk, May 26-27, 2016 / G.Ganush et al., eds. Minsk, Belarus: Belarus State Agricultural Technological University, 2016.

8

Simulations using a partial equilibrium model discovered obstacles to deeper integration of agricultural markets of the originating EAEU members. The analyzed scenarios of integration are associated with a risk of unacceptable falls of food consumption in Belarus, state budget balance in Kazakhstan and agricultural production in Russia. Based on the experience of EU, the ways of integration are proposed aimed at controlling this risk. 
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

317.

Land use policy comparative evaluation

inter-net

Moscow economic journal. 2016. №3.

20

D. Loginova

The paper develops policy analysis methodologies aimed at assessing land use policies: namely, rating of land redistribution policies; factor analysis applied to comparing these policies; modified Kobb-Douglas production function that allows land distribution as a GNP generating factor. This evaluation toolset is useful for the purpose of improving legislation that regulates distribution of land between agricultural use and developing. The methodologies are illustrated with examples of their use based on a limited data base.
Substantial part of this study is performed by D. Loginova under the supervisorship of N. Shagaida. My contribution is several sentences of the text, the idea about evaluation of land policy institutions based on the effect of land use structure on GNP (if this effect is large then the market lacks efficiency, signalling institutional failures) and some corrections regarding to the interpretation of model outcome.
Access: on-line (on the journal site), PDF document (in Russian).

318.

Disbalance as a factor of transportation infrastructure expansion

publ.

Proceedings of the 7th all-Russian symposium on economic theory. Ekaterinburg: Institute of Economics, Ural branch of RAS, 2016. P.109-110.

3

R. Pavlov, A. Bogdanova

ТA theoretical wrap-up for the results from the paper (315). Disbalances of an aggregated resource and needs are interpreted as both factors of infrastructure dynamics and routines evolution.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

322.

Alternative equilibriums in the agricultural markets of the Euro-Asian Economic Union

publ.

The agrarian question in the political economy: the problems of theory and practice / Ed. by R.S. Gaisin. Moscow: MTAA publ., 2016. P.150-157.

13

By means of a computable partial equilibrium model it is shown that suddenly established common rules of state support of agriculture in the Euro-Asian Economic Union would cause unacceptable risks. Their source is existence of alternative equilibriums in a system of modelled markets.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

323.

Alternative equilibriums in the agricultural markets

publ.

Russian Journal of Economic Theory. 2016. №3. P.188-201.

1,7 пл

The problems arising due to the possibility of alternative equilibriums in agricultural and food markets is addressed. Economic threats induced by the phenomenon of alternative equilibriums are quantified, using food markets in Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russian Federation as an example. Counter-arguments are formulated regarding to the position of J. Schumpeter with respect to the question about methodological meaning of uniqueness of competitive equilibrium. An alternative position is justified suggesting that uniqueness of competitive equilibrium cannot be thought about as either required or desirable outcome of a theoretical analysis aimed at an adequate description of the economic reality. Addressing a practical problem of agricultural and food policy analysis by means of a computable partial equilibrium model, the existence of alternative equilibriums in the food markets of the three countries-founders of Eurasian Economic Union is demonstrated. The outcome of the model enlightens important differences between alternative equilibrium states with respect to prices, amounts of production and consumption. The characteristics of some equilibriums are such that they are not acceptable from the point of view of practical economic policy. It is shown that elimination of trade barriers between the three countries shrinks the set of achievable equilibriums, insofar reducing the uncertainty of consequences of the tested agricultural and food policy. However, lower uncertainty is achieved at the cost of sorting out relatively preferable equilibriums. It is recommended to co-ordinate in time the activities aimed at eliminating trade barriers with those aimed at improving competitiveness of the sectors under the risk of recession in the case of unfavourable equilibrium. The research tasks are identified (at a first approximation) aimed at outlining an administrative ruleset that preserves free pricing within a certain framework that censores out the price systems associated with unfavourable equilibriums.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

324.

Russian grain market: government regulation instruments

publ.

System modeling of social and economic processes: Summaries of the 39th international scientific seminar / V.G. Grebennikov, I.N. Shchepina, eds. Voronezh, Voronezh State University, 2016. P.126.

1

G.N. Svetlova

By means of a simulation model of Russian grain market we study influence of state interventions and world market on national Russian market of wheet.
Access: on-line, in Russian and English (published annotations are available at the official site of the seminar in PDF).

325.

Comparison of areas test and two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test

publ.

System modeling of social and economic processes: Summaries of the 39th international scientific seminar / V.G. Grebennikov, I.N. Shchepina, eds. Voronezh, Voronezh State University, 2016. P.125.

1

By means of random testing advantages of the areas test proposed by the author over Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample test are identified. The number of test runs is limited, the results need further elaboration.
Access: on-line, in Russian and English (published annotations are available at the official site of the seminar in PDF).

327.

Effectiveness of purchase and commodity interventions in the grain market

publ.

Food security of the Republic of Belarus in the present conditions: Proceedings of the First All-Belarus forum (Minsk, October 12, 2016) / V.G. Gusakov, A.P. Shpak, eds. Minsk: Institute for systems research in Agro-Industrial Complex, 2016. P.271-275.

20

In the framework of state research assignment for RANEPA in 2016 «Mechanisms of state regulation of the grain market in Russia» the effectiveness of grain policy is studied. The policy instruments under consideration are purchase interventions and commodity interventions. Actual dynamics of Russian wheat market in 2007-2012 is compared to simulations that assume different intervention rules. The data presented in the paper imply that a fixed rule of setting the price corridor and obligatory intervention activities the price violates the corridor result in higher effectiveness in comparison to the actual practice. Moreover, the recommended rules secure transparency of the intervention policy that improves the investment attractiveness of the national grain production. Depending on the available intervention fund, the rules of setting the price corridor can be adjusted in order to secure its target amount, providing that the business is informed timely.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

330.

The future of transportation networks in the light of the theory of infratrajectories

publ.

Foresight «Russia». A new production for a new economy: Proceedings of Sankt-Petersburg International Congress in Economics (SPEC-2016) / S.D. Bodrunov, ed. Moscow: INIR, Culturnaia revolutsia, 2016. V.2. P.458-465.

8

A disequilibrium reproduction-oriented theoretical model of infratrajectories allowing for technological paradigm shifts and investment lag is supported by the data on land transportation networks in the USA (1891-2013). Econometric modelling demonstrates that the economic efficiencies of railroads and paved motor roads are very close, suggesting that the efficiency of different networks tends to mutually converge under the pressure of competition over the changes in network extension. On the base of the adopted theoretical model and publications on innovation backlog in transportation technologies probable tendencies of long-term extension of Russian transportation networks are outlined: railroad network extension will remain stable meanwhile positive qualitative changes in the network structure will take place; extension of the paved motor road network will accelerate.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

336.

Improvement of Mechanisms of State Regulation of the Russian Grain Market

publ.

RANEPA. Moscow., 2017.

110

V. Uzun, N. Shagaida, D. Loginova, E. Shishkina

Basing on the analysis of Russian and foreign practices of grain market regulation and computer experiments on the imitation model of the Russian wheat market, the paper proposes the reasons why the measures to regulate the Russian grain market did not reach, as a rule, the goals set forth in the Law on Agricultural Development adopted in 2006. Proposals for improving regulatory mechanisms are justified. The most important of them: commodity and procurement interventions should be carried out according to the rules established by law and according to pre-approved, and not at current exchange prices; It is advisable to regulate commodity and procurement interventions in the grain market using rules that are transparent to the market and allow independent monitoring of their implementation; The formula for annual specification of borders of a price corridor is offered. In the process of improving the system of regulation of the national grain market, it is suggested to follow a strategy aimed at moving in the long term from the system of commodity and purchasing interventions to the system of compensation for price losses similar to that introduced in the United States in 2014. 
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

337.

Disequilibrium theoretical model of expansion of transportation infrastructure

publ.

Russian Journal of Economic Theory. 2017. №2. P. 54-69

50

R.N. Pavlov, A.L. Bogdanova

The paper argues a disequilibrium theoretical model of expansion of transportation infrastructure, which is concordant with J. Schumpeter's theory of economic development and M. Hirooka's application of this theory. The model describes long-term growth of transport networks as dependent on the lagged rates of utilization of an aggregated resource by the transport infrastructure and satisfying the transportation demand. The arguments in favor of this model, which are available in the earlier literature, are strengthened with testing three new empirical specifications using years 1871-2013 data about surface transport networks in the USA. These specifications address the hypotheses about adequacy of the chosen proxies of the exogenous factors, influence of intensive factors of network expansion, influence of other transport networks on the surface transport networks, influence of varying structure of the aggregated resource. The data support the proposed model. The key theoretical contribution of this study is the revealed regularities in the expansion of transport infrastructure, which are stable during the periods as long as a century; rejection of influence on this expansion of long-term investment lag and support for Hirooka's concept of primacy of infrastructure expansion in relation to Kondratiev-like waves. The methodological contribution is developing and approval of workarounds for obstacles to testing the proposed model. The ability to use the parameter of resource to service conversion, which is proved stable during long periods, for the purpose of assessing the outlook of emerging new and ousting existing transport networks is of practical relevance.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).

In order to regulate Russian grain market, the Ministry of Agriculture sets price margins beyond which interventions in the market are permitted, and entrusts an agent (currently United Grain Company) to perform either commodity or purchasing interventions when the market price is above (below) the corresponding margin. Analysis of the state regulation of the grain market for the period 2007-2015 suggests that the basic principle of the regulation has not been implemented. To assess the effect of government intervention, a simulation model of the grain market of Russia is developed. In the course of its elaboration a regression analysis has shown that the situation in the world grain market scarcely affects Russian exports of wheat. 
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).(The proceeding are available on the site of the seminar).

A comparative study of two non-parametric tests of the equality of continuous, one-dimensional probability distributions is presented: the areas test introduced by the author and Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample test. It is found that the former test has a greater statistical power. This advantage increases in cases of small samples, multimodal populations and normally distributed populations that differ in variance only. Its disadvantage is that the critical value must be obtained from bootstrapping for each empirical distribution individually.
Access: on-line, PDF document (in Russian).(The proceeding are available on the site of the seminar).

© N. Svetlov, 1998-2018.
February 24, 2018.